MLB Prop Picks — Monday, April 6, 2026
AI-powered picks from Statcast exit velocity, umpire CSAA data, park factors & lineup analysis
22
Total Picks
14
HR Props
8
K Props
1
Prime Targets
🎯 HR Prop Targets
💎 Diamond
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 65 — Elite raw power, pitcher matchup keeps out of diamond tonight.
💎 Diamond
Pete Alonso
BAL
Bat 3
AvgEV 93.5 | Barrel 18.9% elite | EV up +2.1 | HH 54.4% | Wind 15 OUT | Fedde 2/3 — Seven straight days Alonso qualifies. Wind 15 mph out at Guaranteed Rate. Barrel 18.9% is among the best in baseball.
💎 Diamond
Andrew Benintendi
CWS
Bat 3
EV spike +4.1 mph | Pull Air 72.7% elite | Barrel 11% | LA 20.1 | Wind 15 OUT | Young 2/3 — Pull Air 72.7% is the highest on the entire leaderboard. Wind 15 mph out carries those pulled fly balls. He's in tonight.
💎 Diamond
Samuel Basallo
BAL
Bat 5
AvgEV 94.2 | Barrel 21% elite | HH 57.4% | Wind 15 OUT | Fedde 2/3 — Three signals at elite tier simultaneously. Barrel 21%, HH 57.4%, AvgEV 94.2. Wind 15 out carries everything.
💎 Diamond
Colson Montgomery
CWS
Bat 4
Barrel 14.5% | LA 18 elevated | Pull Air 36.8% elite | Wind 15 OUT | Young 2/3 — Three straight times Montgomery qualifies and delivers. Same pull air and wind combination working all week.
💎 Diamond
Corey Seager
TEX
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 65 — Elite contact quality but pitcher matchup creates uncertainty.
💎 Diamond
Jordan Walker
STL
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 64 — Hitting the ball hard, pitcher matchup is the variable.
💎 Diamond
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 61 — Also qualifying: Freeman, Guerrero (LAD@TOR), Buxton, Wallner (DET@MIN), Burger (SEA@TEX), Henderson (BAL@CWS).
💎 Diamond
Cal Raleigh
SEA
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 77 | Barrel 19.5% elite | LA 25.2 HR corridor — Hitting the ball hard, may be weak against tonight's pitcher but raw power profile is real.
💎 Diamond
Joc Pederson
SEA
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 71 — Hitting the ball hard but pitcher matchup creates uncertainty.
💎 Diamond
Riley Greene
DET
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 69 — Hitting the ball hard but pitcher matchup is the variable.
💎 Diamond
Max Muncy
LAD
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 68 — Strong power numbers but pitcher matchup is the concern.
💎 Diamond
Sal Stewart
CIN
POWER MATCHUP — POWER MATCHUP | Score 66 — Hitting the ball hard but may face a tough pitcher tonight.
🎯 Prime Target
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
Bat 2
AvgEV 93.1 | EV spike +4.2 mph | Barrel 12.1% | HH 54.3% | Pull Air 44.0% elite | xSLG .957 elite | Coors PF115 | Feltner 1/3 — 8 conditions firing simultaneously. Coors PF115 plus xSLG .957 plus Pull Air 44.0% doesn't need a vulnerable pitcher to cash. Pick of the night.
⚾ K Prop Targets
⚾ K Prop
Tanner Bibee
Cleveland Guardians
55 score
Projected: 4.1–8.2 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Grant Taylor
Chicago White Sox
50 score
Projected: 1.4–2.8 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Chris Sale
Atlanta Braves
50 score
Projected: 6–12 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Logan Gilbert
Seattle Mariners
47 score
Projected: 4.2–8.4 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Shane McClanahan
Tampa Bay Rays
45 score
Projected: 5.3–10.5 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Adrian Houser
San Francisco Giants
37 score
Projected: 3.7–7.4 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Jameson Taillon
Chicago Cubs
35 score
Projected: 2.7–5.5 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Jacob deGrom
Texas Rangers
35 score
Projected: 4.4–8.9 Ks · Line: ?
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