MLB Prop Picks — Wednesday, April 1, 2026
AI-powered picks from Statcast exit velocity, umpire CSAA data, park factors & lineup analysis
22
Total Picks
12
HR Props
10
K Props
1
Prime Targets
🎯 HR Prop Targets
💎 Diamond
Roman Anthony
BOS
EV spike +8.9 mph — biggest spike on the BOS side. Burrows 2/3 vulnerable. Prospect power profile confirmed by 2026 early data.
💎 Diamond
Brent Rooker
Athletics
Bat 4
Power bat hitting cleanup against Chris Sale's declining velocity (87.6 mph) with a favorable park factor and history of elevating fastballs.
💎 Diamond
Sal Stewart
CIN
Bat 4
xSLG 0.935 from live 2026 data. EV up 5.7 mph over 2025 baseline. Great American Ball Park factor 112 — best HR park on today's slate.
💎 Diamond
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
Bat 2
Pull air 41.2%. xSLG 0.965. Best contact quality profile in baseball by every metric. Crochet is tough — keeps this at Diamond.
💎 Diamond
Giancarlo Stanton
NYY
Bat 5
Barrel rate 22.1% elite. MaxEV 118.0. Kirby allows hard contact on 2 of 3 vulnerability signals. Pull air 25%.
💎 Diamond
Aaron Judge
NYY
Barrel 24.7% elite. AvgEV 95.4. Kirby allows hard contact 2/3. Best raw power profile in baseball.
💎 Diamond
Matt Olson
Atlanta Braves
Bat 3
Elite power hitter in a favorable spot against Severino's high hard-hit rate (64%) at a neutral park with warm conditions.
💎 Diamond
Elly De La Cruz
Cincinnati Reds
Bat 3
Underrated power bat in GABP's hitter-friendly environment against Abbott who allows hard contact at a 62.1% clip.
💎 Diamond
Pete Alonso
BAL
Bat 3
Barrel 18.9% elite. MaxEV 115.9. EV trending up in 2026. Camden PF105. Hit in back-to-back games already this season.
💎 Diamond
Rafael Devers
SF
Hard hit rate 56.1%. Pivetta 3/3 vulnerable — best single pitcher matchup outside of Liberatore today. Wind 10 mph out at Petco.
💎 Diamond
Colson Montgomery
CWS
Pull air 50% — highest rate on today's entire slate. EV spike +3.2 mph in 2026. Alcantara 2/3 vulnerable. Dome at Miami.
🎯 Prime Target
Francisco Alvarez
NYM
Bat 6
Pull air rate 41.2% elite. xSLG 0.965 — Yordan Alvarez territory. Liberatore triggers all 3 pitcher vulnerability signals.
⚾ K Prop Targets
⚾ K Prop
Garrett Crochet
Boston Red Sox
70 score
Projected: 5.9–11.7 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Nathan Eovaldi
Texas Rangers
70 score
Projected: 3.9–7.7 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Los Angeles Dodgers
62 score
Projected: 6.2–12.3 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Cristopher Sánchez
Philadelphia Phillies
60 score
Projected: 4.5–9 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins
48 score
Projected: 4.1–8.2 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Mike Burrows
Houston Astros
42 score
Projected: 2.1–4.2 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Andrew Abbott
Cincinnati Reds
38 score
Projected: 3.5–7 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Kyle Freeland
Colorado Rockies
38 score
Projected: 3.6–7.2 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Adrian Houser
San Francisco Giants
37 score
Projected: 3.7–7.4 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Noah Cameron
Kansas City Royals
35 score
Projected: 4.4–8.9 Ks · Line: ?
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