MLB Prop Picks — Thursday, March 26, 2026
AI-powered picks from Statcast exit velocity, umpire CSAA data, park factors & lineup analysis
9
Total Picks
9
HR Props
0
K Props
4
Prime Targets
🎯 HR Prop Targets
💎 Diamond
Brandon Lowe
Pittsburgh Pirates
+550
Bat 2
Weak spot confluence — pitcher historically vulnerable at this batting order position.
💎 Diamond
Brandon Lowe
Pittsburgh Pirates
+550
Bat 2
Elite 107.1 avg EV with 47.7% hard hit rate facing Freddy Peralta who's allowing elevated exit velocity and showing velocity concerns. Lowe's power profile translates well.
💎 Diamond
Colson Montgomery
Chicago White Sox
+600
Bat 2
Impressive 110 avg EV with 53.2% hard hit rate and 7.6% barrel rate facing Jacob Misiorowski in a slightly favorable park (102 factor). Young power hitter with strong Statcast metrics.
💎 Diamond
Christian Yelich
Milwaukee Brewers
+480
Bat 3
Solid 103.8 avg EV and 45% hard hit rate against Shane Smith who's struggling with command. American Family Field's 102 park factor provides slight boost.
💎 Diamond
James Wood
Washington Nationals
+500
Bat 1
Strong 106.9 avg EV with 47.5% hard hit rate facing Matthew Boyd who's been extremely hittable. Wood's power upside in the leadoff spot creates value.
🎯 Prime Target
Eugenio Suárez
Cincinnati Reds
+520
Bat 5
Elite 110 avg EV with 53.8% hard hit rate and 7.9% barrel rate in the most favorable park on the slate (112 factor). Great American Ball Park with 15 mph SW wind and 70°F weather creates optimal launching conditions.
🎯 Prime Target
Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles
+380
Bat 3
Premium 110 avg EV with 50.2% hard hit rate facing Joe Ryan who's allowing elevated exit velocity and showing diminished velocity. Alonso's proven power profile in a solid lineup spot.
🎯 Prime Target
Kyle Schwarber
Philadelphia Phillies
+420
Bat 2
Outstanding 110 avg EV with 55.8% hard hit rate and league-leading 8.9% barrel rate in a hitter-friendly park (108 factor). Citizens Bank Park with favorable wind conditions.
🎯 Prime Target
Juan Soto
New York Mets
+450
Bat 2
Outstanding 110 avg EV with 51% hard hit rate against Paul Skenes who's been allowing hard contact. Soto's elite barrel profile and premium lineup spot make him the top play.
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