MLB Prop Picks — Tuesday, April 7, 2026
AI-powered picks from Statcast exit velocity, umpire CSAA data, park factors & lineup analysis
16
Total Picks
6
HR Props
10
K Props
2
Prime Targets
🎯 HR Prop Targets
💎 Diamond
Bobby Witt Jr.
Kansas City Royals
Bat 2
Elite hard-hit metrics and top power profile facing Gavin Williams's below-average velocity and high 67.3% hard-hit rate allowed.
💎 Diamond
Giancarlo Stanton
NYY
Bat 5
Wind 21 mph out at Yankee Stadium is the strongest wind signal on today's slate. Stanton's contact profile is elite — Barrel 22.1%, AvgEV 94.4. Civale only 1/3 is the weak point but wind that strong at Yankee Stadium overrides pitcher context.
💎 Diamond
Francisco Alvarez
NYM
Bat 9
Seven conditions. Gallen 2/3, elite contact profile confirmed again. Batting 9th limits opportunity — if he moves up in the order this scores higher. Still Diamond on contact quality alone.
💎 Diamond
Salvador Perez
Kansas City Royals
Bat 4
Plus raw power hitter gets a favorable matchup against Cameron's 67.3% hard-hit rate allowed despite cold 28°F conditions suppressing some fly-ball carry.
🎯 Prime Target
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
Bat 3
EV spike +4.0 confirmed over 27 BBE. First time formally crossing the spike threshold with meaningful sample. Dome removes variance. Alcantara 2/3 vulnerable.
🎯 Prime Target
Pete Alonso
BAL
Bat 3
Eight consecutive days qualifying. Smith 2/3 confirmed. Wind crosswind keeps environmental boost neutral but the contact profile carries.
⚾ K Prop Targets
⚾ K Prop
Garrett Crochet
Boston Red Sox
70 score
Projected: 5.9–11.7 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Nathan Eovaldi
Texas Rangers
70 score
Projected: 3.9–7.7 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Los Angeles Dodgers
62 score
Projected: 6.2–12.3 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Cristopher Sánchez
Philadelphia Phillies
60 score
Projected: 4.5–9 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins
48 score
Projected: 4.1–8.2 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Mike Burrows
Houston Astros
42 score
Projected: 2.1–4.2 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Andrew Abbott
Cincinnati Reds
38 score
Projected: 3.5–7 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Kyle Freeland
Colorado Rockies
38 score
Projected: 3.6–7.2 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Noah Cameron
Kansas City Royals
35 score
Projected: 4.4–8.9 Ks · Line: ?
⚾ K Prop
Paul Skenes
Pittsburgh Pirates
35 score
Projected: 5.1–10.2 Ks · Line: ?
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